貧困門檻地區(qū)調整與農(nóng)村貧困趨勢測算

摘要： 文章在現(xiàn)有的CHNS調查數(shù)據(jù)基礎上,首先測算地區(qū)生活成本指數(shù),然后采用地區(qū)生活成本指數(shù)調整固定貧困門檻,測算和比較不同貧困門檻下各地農(nóng)村貧困趨勢的變化。結果發(fā)現(xiàn):地區(qū)價格水平高于全國平均價格水平的地區(qū),按照固定貧困門檻度量低估了農(nóng)村貧困程度;地區(qū)價格水平低于全國平均價格水平的地區(qū),按照固定貧困門檻度量高估了農(nóng)村貧困程度。建議未來在依據(jù)固定貧困門檻度量各地貧困程度的基礎上,通過經(jīng)地區(qū)生活成本調整的貧困門檻建立補充貧困趨勢序列,為客觀認識各地區(qū)的農(nóng)村貧困狀況提供參考。
Based on the existing CHNS survey data, this paper calculates the regional cost of living index firstly, and then uses the regional cost of living index to adjust the fixed poverty thresholds, calculating and comparing the changes in the rural poverty trends across the different poverty thresholds. The results show that in areas where the regional price level is higher than the national average, the rural poverty level is underestimated according to the fixed poverty; if the regional price level is lower than the national average price level, the rural poverty degree is overestimated according to the fixed poverty threshold measurement. The paper suggests that on the basis of measuring the poverty degree of each region according to the fixed poverty threshold in the future, a supplementary poverty trend sequence be established through the poverty threshold adjusted by the regional living cost, so as to provide a reference for the objective recognition of rural poverty in each region.